Will Iran and Iraq be at war before the end of 2024?

Question

As determined by the List of Ongoing Armed Conflicts, either in the Wars or Major Wars category.

This market was prompted by the missile strike near the U.S. Consulate in Iraq, confirmed by both parties to have originated from Iranian territory, and not a proxy.

Clarifications will be made for questions in the comments.

(https://manifold.markets/embed/Panfilo/which-of-these-military-conflicts-w-5f35acee53aa)

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Dec 31, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.