Game Awards 2023: LIVE Fun Prop Bets! [free response]
Basic
21
37k
resolved Dec 8
Resolved
YES
Resolved
YES
Another A-List Hollywood Star on stage? After Simu? Could it be?
Resolved
YES
Surprise appearance by someone Panfilo considers an A-list actor
Resolved
YES
Somehow, yet another another A-List Hollywood Star comes on stage (after anthony mackie)
Resolved
YES
New Monster Hunter announced
Resolved
YES
ANOTHER A-list Hollywood Star comes on stage
Resolved
YES
Another A-list Hollywood Star comes on stage
Resolved
YES
FLUTE GUY makes another appearance
Resolved
YES
A winner keeps talking for 15+ seconds after their end music starts
Resolved
NO
A game announced will prominently feature a generative AI integration
Resolved
NO
another A-List Hollywood Star after timothee chalamet
Resolved
NO
New AAA Souls-Like game announced (not necessarily FromSoft, Lies of P would counts)
Resolved
NO
Two A-list Hollywood stars are on stage at once
Resolved
NO
Someone else says Fuck
Resolved
NO
Vtuber announces a category
Resolved
NO
Geoff Keighley says "Kojima-san"
Resolved
NO
Something on stage catches on fire
Resolved
NO
Stage is crashed by a celebrity as a bit
Resolved
NO
A winner or presenter mentions Israel/Palestine on stage
Resolved
NO
A winner or presenter mentions industry layoffs on stage

GO CRAZY, but note that there are already two "will someone crash the stage" markets, so please be more specific if you want to play on that possibility. Check for redundant questions before contributing; these are more fun the more original they are! And I'm going to say NO META QUESTIONS because they seemed to eclipse the fun ones when I've seen them in the past. I have started us off with 5 examples :smirkydevilemojihehehe:


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@Marnix @Kraalnaxx So, it looks like we both had pretty intuitive reasons for betting as we did. I think my argument based on multiple formal definitions is strong, but that Larian dude was more larpy than I gave him credit for. If I reresolve at 50/50, would that be considered a fairly just outcome?

@Panfilo N/A seems to make more sense than 50/50, if it's ambiguous? not sure tho, i get that you wanna keep some winnings for a great bet when it was cheap

I'd be fine with either 50% or N/A - I was fully convinced he was doing some cosplay!

@TheBayesian I'm inclined to agree, though I guess I can't stop a halfway resolution.

@Marnix @Kraalnaxx I'll ask mods to unresolve and choose 50/50 or N/A. I assume they'll go with the latter for diplomatic reasons. Cheers, and glad you were engaged with the market!

Uh oh

@Joshua If this is actually fucked up I will send mana to the two most affected parties.

@Panfilo [removed] - we have a fix in progress

Hahahah this is a glitch right?

@Joshua Nah people went all in on armor guy as a cosplayer. Wild.

@Panfilo yeah i might just take a break here lmao

@Joshua I think there is a bug in multiple choice unlinked when buying at the extremes. I have been told it is just a display error and that profit is uneffected?

https://discord.com/channels/915138780216823849/1178489248500940811

@Marnix

Oh damn

@Nikos oh god no i can tell you right now my profit has been DRASTICALLY affected

@Joshua The whaleslayer strikes again

Was that not flute guy?

@asmith I forgot I added this and stopped watching

@asmith Giving this a minute as I wasn't watching for him either. Got a screenshot?

@asmith Oh you're totally right

Terrible news guys, he wears the armor in every video at Larian, it's not a cosplay.

@Panfilo Still counts as cosplay even if he often wears it. Is Renaissance Fair not a cosplay event?

@Kraalnaxx It's not a character.

@Panfilo It's his on stage persona, similar to Reggie playing The Regginator.

@Kraalnaxx If you can show me evidence that this is an established character he role-plays beyond general on-stage vibes, I will consider unresolving. But it's not someone from BG and it's not a persona, as far as I can tell, and also it's just the armor, not a full costume.

@Panfilo Disaster. I accept my fate 😭

@Kraalnaxx Okay, this looks worth considering especially because I made a lot of mana from it! I think the spirit of the question was "a person who is currently cosplaying" like the Fallout guy from earlier. Do we collectively think him wearing part of the armor means he was cosplaying at the time, by most definitions?

@Kraalnaxx Also here he is clearly playing a boisterous knight and acts "normally" when in modern clothes https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LI4v6hC_rjM. Unsure if knight has a name but definitely a different guy.

@Panfilo Probably the most famous video of him wearing the armour is linked below. He is clearly playing a boisterous knight and acts "normally" when in modern clothes https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LI4v6hC_rjM. Unsure if knight has a name but definitely a different guy.