Will Zelenskyy and Putin agree to engage in single combat to decide the fate of Ukraine?
Will Zelenskyy and Putin agree to engage in single combat to decide the fate of Ukraine?
20
1kṀ28262028
1.1%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to yes if both parties agree to face off against each other to decide the outcome of the war (i.e. wrestling match, pistol duel, sword fight or any other one-on-one competition), even if the loser does not hold true to his word.
Resolves to no if Russia withdraws its troops without this happening.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelensky meet in person in year 2025?
25% chance
When will Zelenskyy and Putin next be seen together?
Will Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelensky meet in person in year 2025?
99% chance
When will Volodimir Zelenskyy and Wladimir Putin meet in person?
Will Zelenskyy outlast Putin as president?
25% chance
Will either Putin or Zelenskyy be deposed, die or leave office first?
Will Vladimir Putin outlast Volodymyr Zelenskyy?
15% chance
Will Volodomyr Zelenskyy be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?
69% chance
Will Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelensky meet in person in year 2026?
41% chance
Will Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelensky meet in person in year 2027?
29% chance