Will Valerii Zaluzhnyi go into politics?
Basic
3
Ṁ692030
68%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Several reports have suggested that Ukraine's commander-in-chief Valerii Zaluzhnyi is the only public figure whose popularity is comparable to Zelenskiy's, and he might mount a challenge for the presidency, although he has denied political ambitions.
The market resolves Yes if Zaluzhnyi or his official representatives announce at any point that he is running for a political office, or if he is appointed to a political position (e.g. within the government) before 2030. Otherwise, it resolves No.
UPDATE: If Zaluzhnyi is actively involved in a political party, this also counts as "Yes". Pure membership does not suffice.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be reelected president of Ukraine?
27% chance
Will Zelenskyy be re-elected as president of Ukraine in the next election?
41% chance
What will be true of Volodymyr Zelensky in 2024?
Will Valerii Zaluzhnyi ever be reinstated as the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine?
27% chance
Will Zelenskyy outlast Putin as president?
34% chance
Will Zvi endorse a presidential candidate in 2024?
19% chance
Will Zelenskyy Be Illiberal by 2030?
34% chance
Will Volodomyr Zelenskyy be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?
48% chance
Will Lex Fridman interview Volodymyr Zelenskyy in 2024?
4% chance
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy survive 2024?
96% chance