Will Boris Nadezhdin be free and in Russia at the end of 2024?
27
185
Ṁ1.9KṀ430
Dec 31
83%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Boris Nadezhdin is a Russian opposition politician who aspires to run for president in March's presidential election.
The question resolves YES if he is neither incarcerated (prison, pretrial detention or any other form) nor outside of Russia on 31 December 2024, NO in all other cases.
UPD: If Nadezhdin dies in 2024, I will resolve N/A.
If he is incarcerated/outside Russia on 31 December, but it's not clear whether it is only temporary (e.g. one-day detention for drunken behavior, vacation), I will wait until the situation becomes clear.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
@CreativeCulture resolves N/A if he's dead; see https://manifold.markets/PS/will-boris-nadezhdin-be-free-and-in#Cm0RALc1aEQsX2zeT628
More related questions
Related questions
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2027?
70% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2029?
33% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2027?
60% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2026?
66% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be the President of Russia at the end of 2024?
94% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2026?
81% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2029?
53% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2028?
52% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2028?
55% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be the President of Russia at the end of June 2024?
98% chance