Will Boris Nadezhdin be the head of Russia before EOY 2030?
11
236
Ṁ889Ṁ230
2030
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A presidential election is planned in Russia for 15-17 March 2024.
Boris Nadezhdin intends to run for president. He openly opposes the ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine.
Elections in Russia aren't free and fair. Opposition to the invasion is repressed.
I will resolve YES if Nadezhdin holds the position that, at the time, is the position of the head of state (like the president currently). If the position of the head of state shifts to someone else (like the prime minister), I'll resolve accordingly.
If Russia ceases to exist and Nadezhdin has not ever been head of state by then, I will resolve NO.
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