Will the Wagner Group attack Moscow on June 24th?
Ukraine-Russia war
39
291
Ṁ770
resolved Jun 25
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if reported by a reputable news source. Ideally, 100+ Wagner soldiers OR resistance is met from the Russia military in Moscow.

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bought Ṁ100 of NO

https://twitter.com/MarioNawfal/status/1672673016210157571?s=20

predicted YES

Does Moscow Oblast count or only Moscow city proper? Many reports that they are already in Moscow Oblast

@SemioticRivalry Thanks for the question. Might to update only Moscow city proper

Oh man, this is getting so close again.

bought Ṁ0 of YES

@Schwabilismus Optimal time to buy YES if you think that

bought Ṁ50 of YES

@NiallWeaver https://twitter.com/detresfa_/status/1672640399553462272?s=20

bought Ṁ18 of NO

@Schwabilismus That’s the spirit

predicted YES

@Schwabilismus They are almost there

predicted NO

@Schwabilismus So obviously I could have got this wrong but I just think it unlikely they could physically get there in sufficient numbers in a day for them to decide to wrest control, rather than at some point after midnight.

Would be unsurprised if skirmishes in outskirts of Moscow occur tomorrow.

https://bnn.network/breaking-news/war/wagner-forces-moving-across-lipetsk-region-en-route-to-moscow-governor/

Wagner forces ‘moving across’ Lipetsk region en route to Moscow: Governor - BNN Breaking
The governor of the Lipetsk region in Russia has expressed concerns about the movement of the Wagner mercenary group through the area, stating that they

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