I will attempt to resolve it similar to @chrisjbillington, which will allow any manipulations that aren't directed at this market. If I have gain from resolving in a particular direction, I will give resolution power to other trustworthy users.
Resolves according to https://manifold.markets/stats
An engaged user is a user who has traded in, commented on, or created a question on at least 2 out of 7 days in each of the past 3 weeks.
==
Market resolution will not respect manipulation attempts that violate Manifold's
community guidelines - this means use of bugs, an army of alts, botting, etc.
In the event that community-guidelines-violating manipulation occurs, I will attempt to correct for it and be transparent about how I have done so.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ2,004 | |
| 2 | Ṁ1,650 | |
| 3 | Ṁ20 | |
| 4 | Ṁ19 | |
| 5 | Ṁ13 |
@PC I dont even know what im voting for or not and what is going on. alls i know is i bet like a few hours ago ... is it an autolose for no
I still intend to resolve this similar to @chrisjbillington. That being said, my current position is to resolve it according to what is on https://manifold.markets/stats.
If it is a bug, then likely not. If it looks like a permanent change, then I will use it.
Open to opinions for or against.
@PC Forgot that I am creator of this market, anyone want to advocate for an offset for this market?
@PC My biggest problem in the other market is the retroperspective change of a number before I started trading more Mana (still technically correct). I consider a bugfix unlucky for me but in the end an offset could be unfair to the yes holders. Difficult question though.
@PC @chrisjbillington and I are the main YES holders, so I would want him to agree to an offset too
@Willi how would you feel if I resolved based on future numbers only, with the new calculation, but not recognising the retroactively changed numbers?
@PC yes, I mean to ask about my market. This one is unaffected by retroactive changes to the numbers so far.
Why is this 72% and this one is 10%? https://manifold.markets/chrisjbillington/will-manifold-have-a-day-below-1150
