Where will humans first colonize in our solar system?
Space
15
64
2303
74%
Moon
16%
Mars
5%
Venus
0.1%
Titan
0.1%
Europa
1.3%
A Langrage Point
0.4%
Yes. It might even be a ghost town (or colony) by then.

Can be planets, moons, novel space stations at Langrage points

Resolves to:

  • First non-earth location that has humans living on it for 1+ years with an intention of living there long-term

Get Ṁ200 play money

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bought Ṁ10 of Mars

I'm assuming earth orbit and moon orbit don't count.

Does it have to be the same person living somewhere for a year?

bought Ṁ10 of Mars

@Mqrius Ah right, intention of living there long term. How long term? Sounds like it's kinda far off.

bought Ṁ20 of Venus

@Mqrius Good question. With no intention to come back?

I think if there's no intention to have children there it's just a base, not colonisation.

@BlackbirdImmersive Yes I thought about this as a resolution criteria. I created this market instead https://manifold.markets/PC/what-nonearth-surface-will-we-have

@PC

bought Ṁ100 of Moon

I mean, it's gotta be the moon. It's just so much closer than anything else.

bought Ṁ20 of Mars

@AndrewG there's not nearly as much water on the moon as mars, it doesn't have an atmosphere (which is incredibly useful for colonization purposes), and from a deltaV perspective it's only a little cheaper.

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