Will the UK Conservative party win the next election?
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Henry
13
closed Nov 21
39%
chance


Close date updated to 2022-11-21 11:59 pm

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lisamarsh avatar
Lisa Marsh

Was this market intended to close before the election takes place?

DavidMathers avatar
David Matherspredicts NO

What exactly counts as winning, given the possibility of a hung parliament? If (as I think is not that unlikely) the Tories are the largest party, but Labour are in government, did the Tories "win" the election? I was assuming "no", but on reflection that is not obvious.

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Manifold in the WildBot

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