Will the UK Conservative party win the next election?
25
1kṀ8561
resolved Jul 6
Resolved
NO


Close date updated to 2022-11-21 11:59 pm

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bought Ṁ5,450 NO

@mods - this can resolve NO based on the results.

Creator is inactive. Updated close date.

Was this market intended to close before the election takes place?

predictedNO

What exactly counts as winning, given the possibility of a hung parliament? If (as I think is not that unlikely) the Tories are the largest party, but Labour are in government, did the Tories "win" the election? I was assuming "no", but on reflection that is not obvious.

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