Will OPEC decrease in relevance and influence by 31 Dec 2024?
1
70Ṁ30
resolved Jan 10
Resolved
NO

Qatar withdrew in 2019, Ecuador in 2020 and Angola left OPEC+ in 2022.

In a world of rising investment in renewable energy sources and geopolitical turmoil, is OPEC becoming less relevant?

This question will be resolved across multiple criteria.

  • Has the number of member countries to OPEC (not OPEC+) reduced?

  • Has OPEC market share decrease from 34.2% in 2022 (page 24, fig 7)?

  • Will the Brent crude ($75.89 a barrel at 2 Jan 2024) and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude ($70.38 a barrel at 2 Jan 2024) prices be lower in 1 Jan 2025.

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