When will Mike Johnson resign or be removed as speaker of the house?
28
1kṀ6182
Dec 31
1%
By the end of June 2025
25%
By the end of September 2025
36%
By the end of 2025
15%
Never

US Politics
Politics
118th Congress
Speaker Johnson
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2mo

@OmarB @mods could you please resolve? Thanks!

5mo

@OmarB @mods time to resolve the November and December entries? Thanks!

5mo

@AnonUser Do we want to reopen trading!??! Isn't this a timely topic right now? Is there any reason not to reopen trading on the remaining answers?

5mo

@Eliza I think it's sensible to reopen trading, as the close date was most likely set incorrectly (best guess given context). Just did that.

7mo

@OmarB @mods time to resolve the October 2024 market? Thanks!

7mo

@AnonUser gotchu

8mo

@mods can this be resolved for the past months please?

bought Ṁ75 NO10mo

@OmarB are you able to resolve for the past months? Thanks!

bought Ṁ10 NO1y

Does the election of a new speaker in the 119th Congress count as being removed?

1y

@SaviorofPlant No, it doesn’t count. Do you know when it is?

sold Ṁ9 YES1y

@OmarB Should be January 3, 2025 assuming we don't get a repeat of 2023 with multiple ballots

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Will Mike Johnson be removed as Speaker before 2026?
35% chance
Will Mike Johnson be the Speaker of the House on November 28, 2025?
59% chance
Who will be the next Republican Speaker/Minority Leader after Mike Johnson?
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30% chance
Will Mike Johnson still be speaker at the end of Trump's term?
8% chance
Will the Speaker of the House be Someone Other Than Mike Johnson OR Hakeem Jeffries before March 1st, 2027?
23% chance
Will the U.S. government experience a shutdown while the current speaker of the house (Mike Johnson) is in the position?
40% chance
What government positions will Mike Johnson hold for any length of time in the rest of his life?
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