
Closest senate race in the 2024 US election?
14
1kṀ1435resolved Dec 6
100%1.6%
Pennsylvania: Casey vs McCormick
22%
Ohio: Brown vs Moreno
7%
Michigan: Slotkin vs Rogers
7%
Arizona: Gallego vs Lake
8%
Nevada: Rosen vs Brown
11%
Wisconsin: Baldwin vs Hovde
10%
Montana: Tester vs Sheehy
1.6%
Maryland: Alsobrooks vs Hogan
15%
Texas: Allred vs Cruz
17%
Florida: Mucarsel-Powell vs Scott
Resolves to whichever race ends up being the tightest, measured by final vote margin. If the closest Senate race is ultimately one not on this list, I will still resolve to whichever of these 10 is the closest.
i.e. if most races are won by 2%+ points but one race is won by just 1%, then that one race would be considered the closest.
Trading closes November 4th.
Measured by vote %, not raw vote count.
Inspired by: Tracking the Senate's Most Competitive Races (NYT)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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