Each option will resolve to NO when the specified time period is over and no announcement has been made. As soon as a stand-alone VR headset is announced, all the open answers are resolved to YES.

The VR headset (presumably but not necessarily Valve Index 2) has to run games and/or apps without being persistently connected (even wirelessly) to a computer or a mobile device. It is ok if the headset uses a computer or a phone for the initial setup or even for starting the program.

The announcement has to be made either on Steam Store, via a press release, or at a popular industry event like GDC.

I will not bet on this market.

Clarification from 2024-01-18: a small module (e.g. battery) that hangs on the belt and is sold together with the headset still counts as “stand-alone”. A backpack does not. I’ll resolve as N/A if it’s borderline.