When will Valve announce a stand-alone VR headset?
39
2.0k
2025
11%
Q2 2024 or earlier
26%
Q3 2024 or earlier
43%
Q4 2024 or earlier
51%
Q1 2025 or earlier
64%
Q2 2025 or earlier
77%
Q3 2025 or earlier

Each option will resolve to NO when the specified time period is over and no announcement has been made. As soon as a stand-alone VR headset is announced, all the open answers are resolved to YES.

The VR headset (presumably but not necessarily Valve Index 2) has to run games and/or apps without being persistently connected (even wirelessly) to a computer or a mobile device. It is ok if the headset uses a computer or a phone for the initial setup or even for starting the program.

The announcement has to be made either on Steam Store, via a press release, or at a popular industry event like GDC.

I will not bet on this market.

Clarification from 2024-01-18: a small module (e.g. battery) that hangs on the belt and is sold together with the headset still counts as “stand-alone”. A backpack does not. I’ll resolve as N/A if it’s borderline.

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I've resolved Q1 2024 to NO and added a couple options for later dates.

I'm now wondering if valve will be the ones to lean into apple's initiative in having a wire that connects to a puck that the user can carry with them, and put the whole computer in the puck, make it enormous, put belt hooks on it

@makoyass There are already portable computers in the backpacks. I don’t think this qualifies as stand-alone.

For some reason a didn’t think about a Steamdeck-sized device attached to your belt when I was writing this question. Is this portable enough to resolve as a YES?

@OlegEterevsky Yeah, I just drafted a market about my question, then stopped when I realized the headset part couldn't be classified as stand-alone. All of the innovation would be in this battery powered gaming computer with belt loops.

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