Will the blockade on Gaza end before 2026?
8
85
Ṁ228Ṁ178
2026
49%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Following the Hamas coup in 2007, Israel and Egypt began blockading the Gaza strip, placing restrictions on trade and travel. These restrictions have varied heavily over the years. More information can be found below:
This resolves yes, if the blockade by Israel or Egypt is lifted (for at least three months) before 2026. If the blockade ends at the end of 2025, I will wait 3 months before resolving the market.
The blockade is considered as lifted based on designation by reliable media. It will also resolve yes if I determine that either Egypt or Israel allow (for at least 3 months) for all goods and people to travel through their border without significant restrictions.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will Gaza be de facto controled by Israel at the end of 2024?
34% chance
Will the Israel/Hamas conflict conclusively end in 2024 ?
33% chance
Will the current Israel-Palestine conflict end in 2024?
24% chance
Will Israel annex any part of North Gaza by the end of 2024?
10% chance
Will Israel allow settlements in Gaza before 2025?
9% chance
Will there be a ceasefire in Gaza by Eoy 2024?
70% chance
Will Israel build any settlements in the Gaza Strip by 2028?
13% chance
Will Hamas still control Gaza at the end of 2024?
59% chance
Will the PA take control of Gaza before 2025?
16% chance
Will Israel annex Gaza City by the end of 2024?
7% chance