Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to YES if, before the market close date, the United States government officially provides military support directly to Russia. Military support includes:

• Weapons systems or ammunition

• Military vehicles or aircraft

• Military personnel for combat operations

• Direct military funding explicitly for Russia's armed forces

• Military intelligence

The market resolves to NO if:

• No such military support is provided by the U.S. to Russia before the market close date

• Update 2025-03-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Weapons Transactions:

  • Both direct sales (where the U.S. government sells military equipment) and providing military equipment for free count as providing support.

Contractor Involvement:

• Allowing U.S.-based major military contractors to sell military equipment to Russia is considered military support.