US whitecollar union membership reaches 6M by 2028
Basic
4
Ṁ39
2027
42%
chance

Will the number of whitecollar workers who are members of a labor union in the United States double in five years ?

"Whitecollar" here means occupations like lawyers and software engineers.

Resolves based on data from https://data.bls.gov

The report for 2022 is here

I think* the relevant rows in the report are the ones under "Professional and related occupations." which include:

  • Computer and mathematical occupations.

  • Architecture and engineering occupations

  • Life, physical, and social science occupations

  • Community and social service occupations

  • Legal occupations

  • Education, training, and library occupations

  • Arts, design, entertainment, sports, and media occupations

  • Healthcare practitioners and technical occupations

In total these have increased from 5.22M in 2021 to 5.33M in 2022.

Will the 2027 report show at least 6M ? If there's no report for 2027 alternative sources will be considered.

* please correct me if I'm wrong here, happy to change the datasource in the next few days if there's something that's obviously better.

related markets:

/Odoacre/us-whitecollar-union-membership-rea-a5116dbb61f4

/Odoacre/us-whitecollar-union-membership-rea

/Odoacre/us-union-membership-increases-in-20

/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-ai-be-at-least-as-big

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