US union membership rate above 10.0% in 2025
13
Ṁ200Ṁ593Jan 31
53%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
According to the Economic Policy Institute, the US union membership rate was 9.9 percent in 2024, little changed from the prior year. This market will resolve based on the Bureau of Labor Statistics' annual Union Members Summary report for 2025, typically released in January 2026.
Resolution source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/union2.nr0.htm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Hi @Odoacre - the BLS union data is likely to be delayed into February due to the government shutdown in late 2025. I'm not sure if that influences your view on when this market should close.
People are also trading
Related questions
What will the U.S. union membership rate be in 2028?
Will Unemployment in the US Reach 5.5% in 2025?
1% chance
Will Unemployment in the US Reach 6.5% in 2025?
1% chance
Will union membership in the US rise from January 2023 to January 2030?
53% chance
US whitecollar union membership reaches 10M by 2028
24% chance
US whitecollar union membership reaches 6M by 2028
42% chance
Will US unemployment be 10% or more before 2030?
26% chance
United Auto Workers Membership increases above 450k (390k in 9/23) before end of 2025
18% chance
Will the US unemployment rate exceed 10% again before 2030?
26% chance
United Auto Workers Membership decreases to below 350k (390k in 9/23) before end of 2025
37% chance