United Auto Workers Membership increases above 450k (390k in 9/23) before end of 2025
2
50Ṁ582027
18%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
according to wikipedia or reliable reports.
Only counting active workers, excluding retired.
Update 2026-01-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will not resolve until a form is filed later in 2026 which will reveal actual UAW membership numbers, even though the market closes on 2027-01-01. Trading has been reopened but the resolution criteria remain unchanged.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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