When will OpenAI release its first model with "X" in the name?
7
275Ṁ154Dec 31
7%
2025
10%
2026
17%
2027
11%
2028
6%
2029
6%
2030
6%
2031
6%
2032
6%
2033
6%
2034
20%
After 2034 or never
This market predicts the timeframe in which OpenAI will release its first model with "X" in the name (such as GPT-X, oX, X1, etc.).
The model must be publicly announced and available either to the general public, developers, or researchers. The "X" must be part of the official model name, not just a marketing term or project codename.
If OpenAI does not release any model with "X" in its name by December 31, 2034, this market resolves to "After 2034 or never".
References:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
When will OpenAI release an open source model?
When will OpenAI release a robotics model?
Which of these numbers will appear in the name of an OpenAI o-series model before 2026? (not counting dates)
Will OpenAI release next-generation models with varying capabilities and sizes?
64% chance
Next model open sourced by OpenAI?
Will OpenAI launch a model even more expensive than o1-pro in 2025?
64% chance
Will OpenAI release a product with the word "Orion" in its name before 2026?
7% chance
Will OpenAI change their naming scheme (GPT-X) with the successor to GPT-4? (Ṁ200 subsidy!)
4% chance
Will OpenAI have a new name by the end of 2025?
8% chance
Will OpenAI announce a model with a name containing the string "GPT-4b" in 2025
64% chance