When will OpenAI release its first model with "X" in the name?
10
275Ṁ549
Dec 31
6%
2025
27%
2026
17%
2027
11%
2028
6%
2029
6%
2030
6%
2031
6%
2032
6%
2033
4%
2034
5%
After 2034 or never

This market predicts the timeframe in which OpenAI will release its first model with "X" in the name (such as GPT-X, oX, X1, etc.).

The model must be publicly announced and available either to the general public, developers, or researchers. The "X" must be part of the official model name, not just a marketing term or project codename.

If OpenAI does not release any model with "X" in its name by December 31, 2034, this market resolves to "After 2034 or never".

References:

  • Update 2025-07-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that the letter 'X' counts even if it is part of a larger word in the model's name. For example, a model named 'Xeno-1' would trigger a resolution.

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if the model is like "Xeno-1" or whatever, does that count as "X" being in the name?

@Bayesian Yes

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