This market predicts the timeframe in which OpenAI will release its first model with "X" in the name (such as GPT-X, oX, X1, etc.).

The model must be publicly announced and available either to the general public, developers, or researchers. The "X" must be part of the official model name, not just a marketing term or project codename.

If OpenAI does not release any model with "X" in its name by December 31, 2034, this market resolves to "After 2034 or never".

References:

• https://explodingtopics.com/blog/new-chatgpt-release-date

• https://www.pymnts.com/artificial-intelligence-2/2025/openai-to-release-gpt-4-5-within-weeks-gpt-5-within-months/

• Update 2025-07-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that the letter 'X' counts even if it is part of a larger word in the model's name. For example, a model named 'Xeno-1' would trigger a resolution.