Will the German Ampel coalition break apart before the end of its term?
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27
Ṁ11k
2025
98.9%
chance

The question will resolve no if the regularly scheduled elections take place between the 27.08.2025 and the 26.10.2025.
The question will resolve yes if the elections take place outside of regular scheduling or another coalition forms while the Ampel coalition breaks apart.

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there is likely a typo in the specified dates?

opened a Ṁ150 NO at 35% order

@nr dd.mm.yyyy

@Primer Thank you, I am aware of the formatting. I was asking asking about the years which were specified. Article 39 of the German constitution states that the election must take place in 2025, between August 27 and October 26.

@nr Oh! Yeah, you're right, I hadn't even seen the typo. I think we can safely assume this should be 26.10.2025.

I presume you want both dates to be in 2025.

Also, the question title and resolution criteria are not the same. It is possible (if unlikely) that the coalition collapses and another one is elected to serve the remainder of the term of the Bundestag. A Jamaica coalition would have the numbers, for example.

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