This question resolves yes if I am "cancelled" in the next few years." This would involve things like:
- Me being dismissed from my job due to non-work-related factors
- Me being shunned from the EA community
- My EA forum account being deleted without my consent
- etc.
Question will resolve according to my best judgment. Because this is a long-term question, I will strive to add liquidity/exit events reasonably regularly or at request (e.g., add liquidity so that people can exit their position, move the probability to where I think it shoulld be, etc.)
Sort by:

Isaac King Does this only include EA-related cancellation? What if there's some Twitter storm about something you said, but it doesn't significantly impact your professional life?

Jarred Filmerbought Ṁ50 of NOThis made me laugh, if you are it'll probably be for the same instinct that led you to open a prediction market on your cancellation so I hope not 😄
Sort by:
NO shares
1,405
428
10









































Lina
Will I still be in my degree by the end of 2025?
Eli but Chad
Will I still be in my degree by end of 2025?
William D'Alessandro
Will I get a tenure-track academic job offer before 2025?

Carson Gale
Will I get in a serious car accident by end of 2025?

Carson Gale
Will I be diagnosed with cancer by 2035?

N.C. Young
Will anyone contest one of my resolution decisions in 2025?
Lina
Will I still be in my degree by the end of 2025?
Eli but Chad
Will I still be in my degree by end of 2025?
William D'Alessandro
Will I get a tenure-track academic job offer before 2025?

Carson Gale
Will I get in a serious car accident by end of 2025?

Carson Gale
Will I be diagnosed with cancer by 2035?

N.C. Young
Will anyone contest one of my resolution decisions in 2025?