Will I be cancelled by 2025?

Ṁ1.2kṀ3.2k

resolved Jan 7

Resolved

ALL

This question resolves yes if I am "cancelled" in the next few years." This would involve things like: - Me being dismissed from my job due to non-work-related factors - Me being shunned from the EA community - My EA forum account being deleted without my consent - etc. Question will resolve according to my best judgment. Because this is a long-term question, I will strive to add liquidity/exit events reasonably regularly or at request (e.g., add liquidity so that people can exit their position, move the probability to where I think it shoulld be, etc.)

Market context

Personal

Cancelation

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Trader	Total profit
1		Ṁ155
2		Ṁ28
3		Ṁ2
4		Ṁ2
5		Ṁ2

People are also trading

I feel strongly that I have been "canceled" at least once by the end of 2026.

10% chance

Will I get "canceled" for something I post on Twitter or Manifold by 2030?

13% chance

What will happen to me in 2026?

Will I be single at the end of 2026?

46% chance

SNL cancelled by 2035?

30% chance

Will I drop out of Minerva University by 2027?

59% chance

Will I be alive at the end of 2026?

Sort by:

Pampu ;)

Does this only include EA-related cancellation? What if there's some Twitter storm about something you said, but it doesn't significantly impact your professional life?