
Will I get "canceled" for something I post on Twitter or Manifold by 2030?
23%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Disclaimer: There's nothing I can think of that is necessarily "cancellable" in the content that I post - I think I'm actually fairly vanilla and considerate online. I've never really had a hostile experience with someone online.
Resolves positively if I lose meaningful income as a result of clients or employers disliking / not tolerating content that I post online. Does not include any income loss that is a result of negative performance (e.g., getting addicted to Manifold and putting off work or something).
Context: I work in a niche area of finance at a well-known investment bank.
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Will Twitter prohibit Manifold links by May 2023?3%
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Will I consider posting questions on Manifold a good way to get answers to these questions by the end of 2023?56%

Carson Gale
Will I have more followers on Manifold than Twitter by end of 2025?34%
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