Conditional on spending more than 10K USD on trying to get a US visa by the end of 2026, will I in fact get such a visa?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ75Jul 1
75%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
see for details:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the US refuse entry to nonimmigrant travellers at at least three times the rate in 2025 than it did in 2024?
30% chance
Will Trump significantly expand high-skill immigration by the end of 2026?
15% chance
Will I emigrate from the US by the end of 2025? Will I regret emigrating or not emigrating by the end of 2026?
Will it become illegal to move >$50K/year out of the United States?
2% chance
US issues 85k new H-1B visas in FY2027? (Conditional on 100k fee implementation)
49% chance
Will the H1B visa cap be raised (above 85000) for fiscal year 2027?
16% chance
Revenue from H1b visa fees, 2026?
4,644
Will the UK raise the minimum income requirement for family visas above £40,000 before 2027?
55% chance
Conditional on Trump being elected, how many H1B recipients will be admitted in the USA in 2026?
Will I spend at least 10K USD trying to get a US visa by the end of 2026?
17% chance