🐣 How many things will happen in April 2024?

Basic

Ṁ4255

resolved May 2

Resolved

YES

30+

Resolved

YES

35+

Resolved

YES

40+

Resolved

45+

Resolved

50+

Resolved

55+

Resolved

60+

How many sub-markets will have resolved YES at the end of April in chris' What will happen in April 2024? mega-market?

Markets that resolved NO or N/A don't count. I'll resolve sub-markets as they become true. I reserve the right to delay the final resolution until all sub-markets in the linked market resolve.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

7 Comments

12 Holders

93 Trades

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With 42 YES and 3 left waiting to resolve, I've resolved to NO all values thare are now impossible to reach, with the exception of 45+, wich would be YES if all 3 remaining submarkets resolves YES. Unlikely, but possible, so I'm keeping 45+ open until one of them resolves NO.

@NoyaV Another one resolved NO, so the final count has to be between 42 and 44.

bought Ṁ150 NO

the month is almost over!

bought Ṁ100 YES

@NoyaV If I counted correctly, we're at 40 YES now.

reposted

halfway through

bought Ṁ5 YES

Can you add some higher thresholds for this?

@TimothyJohnson5c16 Added 3 more (50, 55, 60), but the same markets from last couple of months ended with values in lower ranges. I'd be surprised if they get this high

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