Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?

22

closes 2030

60%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Amount

Ṁ0

Ṁ50

Ṁ100

Payout if YES

Ṁ16 +66%

New probability

61% +0.8%

Get Ṁ500 play money

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Tom Shlomibought Ṁ40 of NO

Is there a difference between this market and https://manifold.markets/Nostradamnedus/will-iran-have-a-nuclear-weapon-by?

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