Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?

Nostradamnedus

closes 2030

60%

chance

ALL

Get Ṁ500 play money

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Sort by:

Tom Shlomibought Ṁ40 of NO

Is there a difference between this market and https://manifold.markets/Nostradamnedus/will-iran-have-a-nuclear-weapon-by?

1 reply

Nostradamnedus

@toms Oops.. no 😅

Brendan Finan

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5253/iran-obtains-nuclear-weapon-by-2030/

1 reply

na pewnobought Ṁ15 of YES

@BrendanFinan You can embed metaculus too.

Ev bought Ṁ20 NO from 63% to 60%

TF bought Ṁ1 NO at 63%

Ev bought Ṁ5 NO at 63%

PhilC sold Ṁ4 NO at 63%

John Gaius sold Ṁ16 NO from 61% to 63%

Juri bought Ṁ20 NO from 64% to 61%

PhilC bought Ṁ4 NO at 64%

Eliener Unowkysy bought Ṁ1 NO at 64%

Alex Paton bought Ṁ5 NO from 65% to 64%

Andrey Vlasenko bought Ṁ50 YES from 60% to 65%

cshunter bought Ṁ20 NO from 64% to 60%

Tom Shlomi sold Ṁ40 NO from 56% to 64%

Tom Shlomi bought Ṁ40 NO from 64% to 56%

Andrey Vlasenko bought Ṁ60 YES from 56% to 64%

Nico D sold Ṁ8 NO from 55% to 56%

cos created limit order for Ṁ1 YES at 15%

cos created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 70%

cos created limit order for Ṁ1 NO at 86%

cos created limit order for Ṁ1 YES at 32%

Andrey Vlasenko bought Ṁ25 YES from 51% to 55%

na pewno sold Ṁ16 YES from 53% to 51%

Andrey Vlasenko bought Ṁ40 YES from 46% to 53%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ100 YES at 46% (cancelled)

na pewno sold Ṁ22 YES from 49% to 45%

Jf P bought Ṁ10 NO from 51% to 49%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ100 NO at 51% (cancelled)

Andrey Vlasenko bought Ṁ50 YES from 41% to 52%

na pewno bought Ṁ5 YES from 40% to 41%

na pewno bought Ṁ10 YES from 37% to 40%

na pewno created limit order for Ṁ50 YES at 24% (cancelled)

na pewno created limit order for Ṁ50 YES at 34% (cancelled)

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ100 NO at 37% (cancelled)

na pewno bought Ṁ15 YES from 34% to 38%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ5/Ṁ100 NO at 34% (cancelled)

S G bought Ṁ30 NO from 40% to 35%

NamesAreHard sold Ṁ17 NO from 37% to 40%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ100 YES at 37% (cancelled)

Charlie bought Ṁ50 NO from 47% to 36%

Nico D bought Ṁ10 NO from 50% to 47%

NamesAreHard sold Ṁ10 NO from 47% to 50%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ6/Ṁ100 YES at 47% (cancelled)

Floffinou bought Ṁ50 NO from 66% to 44%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ100 YES at 66% (cancelled)

NamesAreHard bought Ṁ15 NO from 73% to 65%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ100 NO at 73% (cancelled)

Jem Bishop bought Ṁ40 YES from 66% to 75%

Valentin Golev bought Ṁ10 NO from 73% to 66%

John Gaius bought Ṁ10 NO from 80% to 73%

David Sartor sold Ṁ5 YES from 81% to 80%

David Sartor bought Ṁ5 YES from 80% to 81%

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