In light of concerns raised about the authenticity of the Prighozin Telegram video, I suspect that the standard of evidence required to resolve a Manifold question is in some cases low enough that a deepfake video could push a market to resolve early and resolve incorrectly. Will that happen in 2023?

Market Resolution Criteria:

1. I will resolve YES if any question is resolved in 2023 and later requires re-resolution due to substantial evidence or strong suspicion that the original resolution relied on deepfake technology in the video evidence.

2. In case of a lack of consensus on whether deepfake technology was used, a secondary market will be created to answer that specific question.

3. If the cause of video evidence manipulation is determined to be old-school forgery techniques such as body doubles, prosthetics, or masks, this question will resolve NO.

4. If any questions related to video evidence manipulation are actively discussed at the time of market close, the resolution will be delayed for up to one month to allow those discussions to conclude. If a market is re-resolved after this one, the re-resolution request will apply to this market as well.

5. I reserve the right to ignore any Mani question that I believe that has been created in bad faith to distort this market. To be honest if it's a meta question or one that relates specifically to a Manifolder, it's probably out.

To ensure impartiality, I will not participate in this market as a buyer.