Will a referendum be held on Welsh independence from the United Kingdom before 2030?
Standard
13
Ṁ746
2029
4%
chance

Resolves YES if a referendum is held by the close date on Wales' membership of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland by close date.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Sort by:

Very doubtful. Support for Welsh independence is at best maybe 1 in 3 so even Plaid Cymru aren't actively trying to get a plebiscite they know they'd lose. Likelihood is that there will be Labour government for the remainder of this decade which will further reduce the desire for independence in Wales.