If Zack Polanski becomes leader of the Green Party (UK), how many Labour MPs will defect to the Greens?
21
1kแน70872026
0.2%
Polanski does not become Green Party leader.
63%
0 defections
31%
1 defection
4%
2-5 defections
1.4%
6-10 defections
0.3%
11+ defections
Inspired by this tweet. How many current Labour MPs (current = holds the labour whip as-at market creation on 3rd June 2025) will instead be listed as Green on Parliament's Find MPs page at market close?
Resolves "Polanski does not become Green Party leader" if Polanski does not win the 2025 leadership election.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@dorothydomer unfortunately this type of market doesn't allow resolving some options but not others. It's a feature I'd love them to implement though! There's lots of "what date will X happen" markets that still have 2024 or even 2023 as an option.