Will a nuclear disaster occur that scores a 7 on the International Nuclear Event Scale by EOY 2030? | Manifold

Will a nuclear disaster occur that scores a 7 on the International Nuclear Event Scale by EOY 2030?

8

170Ṁ257

2031

13%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This question will resolve YES if a nuclear disaster occurs by end of year 2030 that scores a seven on the International Nuclear Event Scale. If a disaster occurs near the resolution date that could plausibly resolve YES, I will extend trading until a INES score is given.

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will a nuclear disaster occur that scores a 5, 6, or 7 on the International Nuclear Event Scale by EOY 2030?

Will there be a major nuclear disaster by 2030?

Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030

Will there be a nuclear close call or accidental detonation before 2030?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the year 2030?

Will the reactor core of a nuclear power plant melt before EOY 2030?

Will a nuclear power incident cause 25 deaths (or equivalent) before 2030?

Will a nuclear war wipe out humanity by 2030?

Will a nuke nuke a nuke by 2030?

Will a non-test nuclear weapon detonate by 2030?

Related questions

Will a nuclear disaster occur that scores a 5, 6, or 7 on the International Nuclear Event Scale by EOY 2030?

Will there be a major nuclear disaster by 2030?

Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030

Will there be a nuclear close call or accidental detonation before 2030?

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in the year 2030?

Will the reactor core of a nuclear power plant melt before EOY 2030?

Will a nuclear power incident cause 25 deaths (or equivalent) before 2030?

Will a nuclear war wipe out humanity by 2030?

Will a nuke nuke a nuke by 2030?

Will a non-test nuclear weapon detonate by 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy