Will a nuclear disaster occur that scores a 7 on the International Nuclear Event Scale by EOY 2030? | Manifold

Will a nuclear disaster occur that scores a 7 on the International Nuclear Event Scale by EOY 2030?

Basic

8

Ṁ257

2031

13%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This question will resolve YES if a nuclear disaster occurs by end of year 2030 that scores a seven on the International Nuclear Event Scale. If a disaster occurs near the resolution date that could plausibly resolve YES, I will extend trading until a INES score is given.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Related questions

Will a nuclear disaster occur that scores a 5, 6, or 7 on the International Nuclear Event Scale by EOY 2030?

Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030

Will a nuclear bomb be detonated somewhere in the world before 2033?

Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?

Nuclear Risk 2025: How many of the 7 linked questions resolve Yes?

Will there be more nuclear warheads in the world in 2030 than 2023?

-3% 1d69% chance

Will an offensive nuclear detonation occur by 2080?

Will there be a major nuclear disaster by 2030?

Will there be a nuclear close call or accidental detonation before 2030?

Will a non-test nuclear weapon detonate by 2030?

Related questions

Will a nuclear disaster occur that scores a 5, 6, or 7 on the International Nuclear Event Scale by EOY 2030?

Will there be more nuclear warheads in the world in 2030 than 2023?

Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030

Will an offensive nuclear detonation occur by 2080?

Will a nuclear bomb be detonated somewhere in the world before 2033?

Will there be a major nuclear disaster by 2030?

Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?

Will there be a nuclear close call or accidental detonation before 2030?

Nuclear Risk 2025: How many of the 7 linked questions resolve Yes?

Will a non-test nuclear weapon detonate by 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules