Manifold: Live! - Sun 12/3 - Episode 1: - What will be true about this show

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Ṁ23k

resolved Dec 3

Resolved

YES

One of the speakers will place a bet over 5000M during the show

Resolved

YES

A speaker will speak at least 5 words of french

Resolved

YES

It will start on time (within 1 min of posted time)

Resolved

YES

It lasts less than 90 mins

Resolved

YES

There will be technical difficulties

Resolved

YES

The guest will speak more than 10% of the time

Resolved

LK99 will be referenced

Resolved

The show will reach 50 viewers on twitch

Resolved

A speaker will swear

Resolved

A speaker will sing part of the Canadian national anthem ("O Canada..." will be sufficient)

Resolved

Taylor Swift will at some point be 16% or higher in the main POTY market

Resolved

The TIME PotY will be announced during the show

Resolved

The TIME PotY announcement will be announced during the show

Resolved

A speaker will do "the robot" dance on camera

Resolved

A speaker will give a fun fact about the Canada Goose

Only relevant to this show, not future shows..

Topic market: /Joshua/manifold-live-sun-123-episode-1-tim

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The guest will speak more than 10% of the time

He spoke about 15% of the time.. next week I am going to put the market at 20% to make it more spicy...

Oh no, there was french. But what was said??

@Nikos Well if it was a goose fact I'll have to re-resolve :P

We went over 90 minutes so "It lasts less than 90 minutes" resolves NO

The stream at least (which started early i guess)

@snoozingnewt Well I think it only officially started at noon PST, so it hasn't been 90 minutes yet?

I think going from the official start time is fair because that is also what they use for the youtube recording. Or at least they did last time.

@Nikos That's fair

Michael WheatleyboughtṀ5,001One of the speakers ... YES

@MichaelWheatley Nice catch with the 5001 :P

One of the speakers will place a bet over 5000M during the show

There will be technical difficulties

"Hang on, its not loading for me"

Started on time

Updated some of the wording from "someone" -> "a speaker". So only the hosts/guest count. Not people in discord chat.

The guest will speak more than 10% of the time

@case you going to keep a timer going for this one?? I will not be keeping track of it 😅

@Nikos Neither!

@Nikos you can use transcription sites to measure

@Nikos Going by vibes I would say it was more than 10%. @case do you agree?

@Nikos I definitely think Michael spoke more than 10% of the time.

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