Manifold: Live! - Sun 12/3 - Episode 1: - What will be true about this show
17
1.8kṀ23k
resolved Dec 3
Resolved
YES
One of the speakers will place a bet over 5000M during the show
Resolved
YES
A speaker will speak at least 5 words of french
Resolved
YES
It will start on time (within 1 min of posted time)
Resolved
YES
It lasts less than 90 mins
Resolved
YES
There will be technical difficulties
Resolved
YES
The guest will speak more than 10% of the time
Resolved
NO
LK99 will be referenced
Resolved
NO
The show will reach 50 viewers on twitch
Resolved
NO
A speaker will swear
Resolved
NO
A speaker will sing part of the Canadian national anthem ("O Canada..." will be sufficient)
Resolved
NO
Taylor Swift will at some point be 16% or higher in the main POTY market
Resolved
NO
The TIME PotY will be announced during the show
Resolved
NO
The TIME PotY announcement will be announced during the show
Resolved
NO
A speaker will do "the robot" dance on camera
Resolved
NO
A speaker will give a fun fact about the Canada Goose

Only relevant to this show, not future shows..


Topic market: /Joshua/manifold-live-sun-123-episode-1-tim

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He spoke about 15% of the time.. next week I am going to put the market at 20% to make it more spicy...

We went over 90 minutes so "It lasts less than 90 minutes" resolves NO

The stream at least (which started early i guess)

@Nikos That's fair

Michael Wheatley boughtṀ5,001 YES

"Hang on, its not loading for me"

Started on time

@Nikos Neither!

@Nikos you can use transcription sites to measure

@Nikos I definitely think Michael spoke more than 10% of the time.

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