This is a much weaker version of the statement in question, mainly aimed at testing if Musk's persecution complex holds any water whatsoever.

An exhaustive list of events I would consider "particularly bad" for the sake of this market includes:

-Elon Musk is arrested.

-Musk dies, or is diagnosed with a terminal illness.

-There is a serious assassination attempt on Musk.

-There is a successful kidnapping attempt on Musk.

-Musk has a net worth less than $50 billion.

-SpaceX, Tesla, or Twitter is banned, shut down, or prevented from operating in the U.S. by the U.S. government.

I may add items to this list in the first week this market is open based on comments. This market will be N/A'd if Harris is not elected president in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. I will not bet on this market.