Background

Elon Musk is the CEO of multiple high-profile companies including Tesla, SpaceX, and X (formerly Twitter). Donald Trump is currently the presumptive Republican nominee for the 2024 presidential election. If elected, his term would run from January 20, 2025 to January 20, 2029.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve YES if Elon Musk dies as a result of an intentional act of violence by another person or group before the end of Trump's potential second presidential term (January 20, 2029). The market will resolve NO if:

• Elon Musk survives through January 20, 2029

• Elon Musk dies from natural causes, accident, or suicide

• Trump does not become president (in this case, the market will resolve NO on January 20, 2025)

Considerations

• While there have been social media discussions and posts about potential threats to Musk's life, there are currently no credible threats according to public information

• High-profile business leaders and public figures typically have significant security measures in place

• The market's resolution depends on both Trump winning the presidency and a specific event occurring during his term