How many people would be killed by a death ray?
10
Never closes
1-10 people
10-100 people
100-1000 people
1000-10,000 people
10,000-100,000 people
100,000-1,000,000 people
1,000,000-10,000,000 people
10,000,000-100,000,000 people
100,000,000-1,000,000,000 people
Total Extinction (1,000,000,000 or more)
Death ray could save us from over population. Sometimes, we might go extinct from a death ray.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2100?
45% chance
Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2050?
31% chance
Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2075?
50% chance
Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2035?
10% chance
Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2030?
4% chance
Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least
1 million deaths before 2045?
17% chance
Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2040?
10% chance
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2050?
12% chance
Does an AI disaster kill at least 10,000 people before 2040?
45% chance
Does an AI disaster kill at least 1,000 people before 2040?
60% chance
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2100?
45% chance
Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2050?
31% chance
Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2075?
50% chance
Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2035?
10% chance
Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2030?
4% chance
Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least
1 million deaths before 2045?
17% chance
Will a Rogue Artificial Intelligence cause at least 1 million deaths before 2040?
10% chance
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2050?
12% chance
Does an AI disaster kill at least 10,000 people before 2040?
45% chance
Does an AI disaster kill at least 1,000 people before 2040?
60% chance