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Well that's quite the upset

Anywhere to watch live online?

@firstuserhere https://www.wmur.com/article/boston-marathon-new-hampshire-coverage-2023/43615831#

"With 15 victories out of his 17 marathons, Kipchoge's only losses have been a second-place finish behind Wilson Kipsang Kiprotich at the 2013 Berlin Marathon, where Kipsang broke the world record, and an eighth-place finish at the 2020 London Marathon."

- Wikipedia

Also a reminder that the market closes before the race will be over.

NO holders, I’m curious. Do you think he’s likely to drop or bonk? Who do you think has a serious shot at outranking him—Chebet? Desisa? That would be quite the upset.

@NicoDelon I'm just arbitraging against this market:

He is obviously the best marathoner in the field (world). I think ~75-80 % is about right. Maybe it up to 85 %. A London marathon situation is not unthinkable, and Boston is a course where more surprises can happen than Berlin.

@howtodowtle By the way, appreciating all the running markets. :)

@NicoDelon I didn't know anything, just assumed that was a high percentage for one person in any race with so many competitors

@KevinBurke That’s fair. But he’s won 88% of the marathons he’s started (89 if you count his two sub-2 hours attempts). It’s Boston, it’s tricky, and anything could happen, he’s the man to beat.