Will a nonhuman win a Nobel Prize by 2100?
30
114
1k
2100
47%
chance

Will anyone or anything that is not human (i.e. biologically a member of the human species) win any Nobel Prize by the end of 2099?

  • Any nonhuman animal or extraterrestrial being or AI system or deity

  • Corporations or other organizations created by, run by, or made up of human beings do not count.

  • Any Nobel Prize:

  • Resolves YES as soon as the prize is announced.

  • Resolves NO if, by market close, no nonhuman being is known to have received a Nobel prize in any category or if and when Nobel Prizes permanently cease being awarded before market close.

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Isn't a group ou Organization something "nonhuman"?

predicts NO

@RuiRodrigues It’s made of human beings. My description says: Any nonhuman animal or extraterrestrial being or AI system or deity. No one would say a football team is nonhuman. That’s neither here nor there.

arbitraged

@astyerche With? How?

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