This market predicts whether a Nobel Prize will be awarded for significant scientific advancements in biopreservation or long-term suspended animation by the end of 2099. These procedures aim to preserve organisms for future recovery. The preservation could involve just the brain, more of the body, or the whole body, with the understanding that successful revival would constitute revival of the individual person.

Definitions

• Biopreservation: Preservation of biological systems when revival capability is unknown at the time of preservation. This includes cryopreservation and other methods of biostasis aimed at long-term preservation.

• Long-term suspended animation: Reversible preservation of organisms for at least one year, when it has been demonstrated that the procedure is reversible in at least some cases at the time of preservation (e.g., for long-distance space travel).

Resolution Criteria

• YES if: A Nobel Prize is awarded before 2100 for scientific work primarily focused on biopreservation or long-term suspended animation.

• Note that a demonstrated successful revival would not be required for biopreservation, but the potential for revival must be a key aspect of the research and why the Nobel Prize was awarded.

• NO if no such Nobel Prize is awarded by then.

• N/A if the Nobel Prize is dissolved at some point before 2100.

Notes

• Successful revival is not required for biopreservation, but the potential for revival must be a key aspect of the research and explicitly mentioned in the Nobel Prize justification.

• If the Nobel Prize is renamed, restructured, or replaced by a successor award, this new or modified prize will be considered for the purpose of this question, and the question will not resolve N/A.

• The work must apply to organisms. Preservation of cells or tissues alone is insufficient (e.g. long-term preservation of cells or tissues for improved reproductive technology would not count).

• Short-term medical procedures or conventional life support techniques (e.g. advances on ECMO or short-term deep hypothermic cardiac arrest) would not qualify.