Will it become practically impossible to verify the authenticity of humans using the internet by 2026?
33
1kṀ1128
2026
50%
chance

The prediction market will resolve as "Yes" if, by 2026, the following conditions are met:

Widespread adoption of advanced AI and automation technologies: The majority of internet users, services, and applications are exposed to advanced AI-driven systems (e.g., deepfakes, automated bots, or AI-generated content) that are capable of convincingly mimicking human behavior and communication patterns.

Ineffectiveness of existing verification methods: Traditional human verification methods (e.g., CAPTCHAs, two-factor authentication, or biometric security) are rendered ineffective or insufficient in distinguishing between humans and AI-driven systems in a majority of cases.

Lack of reliable new verification techniques: No new, widely adopted, and reliable verification techniques have been developed and implemented to successfully differentiate between humans and AI-driven systems in most cases.

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