Will the US support a negotiated settlement in Ukraine by the end of 2023?
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Will the official policy of the US State Department be to support Ukraine/Russia peace talks, built around the then-status quo, before the end of 2023?
Will not resolve yes if talks are supported only in the event Russia makes significant concessions from current holdings, unless Russia is publicly agreeable to the idea.
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@42irrationalist there's a market for that too!
https://manifold.markets/NickAllen/will-the-us-support-a-negotiated-se-b71ad9e064b3?r=Tmlja0FsbGVu
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