Will Texas use a different U.S. House map in 2026 than in 2024?
3
222Ṁ51
2026
50%
chance

Which map does Texas use in Nov 2026?

YES if any U.S. House district boundary in Texas differs from 2024; otherwise NO.

YES:

Resolves YES if, on Election Day for the Nov 2026 U.S. House general in Texas, the congressional boundaries differ in any way from those used in Nov 2024.

Includes legislature-enacted, court-ordered, interim, or partial maps.

Any change counts.

NO:

Resolves NO if the exact same boundaries from Nov 2024 are used in the Nov 2026 general.

NO if a new map is enacted but not used, or if changes are purely administrative (precinct merges, coding fixes, or district renumbering with identical lines).

NO if a different map is used only for the primary while the general uses the 2024 boundaries.

N/A:

Resolves N/A only if Texas does not hold a statewide U.S. House general election within 2026.

Includes if it is postponed past Dec 31, 2026 or canceled.

Resolution based on Texas Secretary of State certified 2026 general maps/listings & relevant court orders and AP or Texas Tribune reporting.

Post-election disputes that change winners but not boundaries do not affect resolution.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy