Will more than one nuclear weapon be detonated in conflict this year?
4
Ṁ1kṀ1.2kDec 31
4%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Yes case: Look at the news, religious beliefs of various powerful actors, and personal incentives of leadership.
No case: Look at history, and personal incentives of other leadership.
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