Will Biden be president on October 6, 2022? [Self-Resolving]
52
620Ṁ170k
resolved Nov 4
Resolved
NO

This market will resolve at a randomly chosen time (known only to me) between October 13 23:59 ET and October 20 23:59 ET.
* If the price at that time is >=80%, this market will resolve YES.
* If the price at that time is <=20%, this market will resolve NO.
* Otherwise, I will NOT resolve the market, write a comment with this information, and will pick a new random time when I will attempt to resolve the market.

If the market fails to resolve twice, I will begin lowering the thresholds (e.g. the price will only need to be <=30% to resolve NO).

This market is similar to Jack's, but I am testing a different resolution method which I believe will produce better results on this form of question.

I will not trade in this market.

Sep 26, 6:39pm: Added the paragraph beginning with "If the market fails to resolve twice." I forgot to include this in the original description.

Close date updated to 2022-10-04 6:56 pm

Close date updated to 2023-01-01 6:56 pm

Oct 7, 9:25pm: Will Biden be president on October 6? [Self-Resolving] → Will Biden be president on October 6, 2022? [Self-Resolving]

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