Will Fiji join the Rugby Championship by 2030?
Will Fiji join the Rugby Championship by 2030?
5
130Ṁ1742029
48%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Joining as part of a joined Pacific team would not resolve YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
predictedYES
If the presence of the Drua in super rugby has had any influence on the national team's showing at world cup 2023 so far then you can only imagine the potential that this could unlock.
A mixed 'Pasifika' team goes against the grain of what has potentially worked (depending on what you believe).
Would love to see this resolve yes so heart alongside the head on this one
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will Japan join the Rugby Championship by 2030?
40% chance
Will any new team join the Rugby Championship by 2030?
73% chance
Will any team leave the Rugby Championship by 2030?
33% chance
Will any other country enter into a similar agreement to the Falepili Union with a Pacific Island country before 2030?
75% chance
Will international rugby have a globally integrated season that kicks off by 2030?
86% chance
Will Australia enter into any similar agreement to the Falepili Union with another Pacific Island country before 2030?
69% chance
Will any of these countries enter into a pact similar to the Falepili Union with a Pacific Island country before 2030?
Will the 2031 Rugby World Cup expand to more than 20 teams?
99% chance
Will New Zealand become a republic by 2030?
17% chance
Where will the 2035 Rugby World Cup be held?