Will either the 2024 or 2028 US presidential election result in an Electoral College tie?
21
55
Ṁ676Ṁ410
2028
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if either the 2024 presidential election or the 2028 presidential election in the United States (or both) results in a tie in the Electoral College between two candidates (which would currently be 269–269, though the number of votes needed would change if states joined or left the union). A tie with multiple candidates winning electoral votes does not count (e.g. 200–200–138). This excludes faithless electors. If there is a dispute as to the result of an election I will follow reliable sources. If the Electoral College is abolished before the 2028 election this will resolve to N/A.
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