Is the Collatz conjecture true?
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This just convinced me the probability is lower than I thought (ie, that the possibility of finding a counterexample, something that loops forever, is higher than I thought):

https://x.com/AlexKontorovich/status/1172715174786228224

bought Ṁ7 YES

Not going to be, but what if proven undecidable?

bought Ṁ30 YES

Would be weird if it wasn't

"Is the Collatz conjecture true?"

Is the Collatz conjecture true?

People are also trading

Will a counterexample to the Collatz conjecture be found before midnight new year 2028?
3% chance
Will the Collatz Conjecture (3x+1 problem) be solved before 2030?
14% chance
What will be the first published counterexample to Collatz conjecture?
Will the Collatz conjecture be resolved by the end of the decade (11:59, 31 December 2029)?
16% chance
By the end of year 2025, will a counter-example to the Collatz Conjecture be provided that is less than a googolplex?
2% chance
OpenAI discovers the first proof of the collatz conjecture before 2026
2% chance
If the Collatz conjecture is false, what is the binary logarithm of the first published counterexample, or first published upper bound?
900
Will the first valid proofs of the Collatz Conjecture and the Riemann Hypothesis occur within 12 months of one another?
31% chance
Will there be a trend spike for the term "collatz" before 2027?
29% chance
Is the Unique Games Conjecture true?
65% chance
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