Will world real GDP jump by 20% in a year over any previous year in before 2040?

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2039

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@NathanpmYoung

If left closed, do you think anyone will remember to resolve this claim in 2040?

I suggest it is reopened with a 2040 close date.

Assuming real and not nominal GDP.

@CamillePerrin I think I mean nominal. That would still be a huge jump, right?

@NathanpmYoung Sure. Assumed the question was a "Are we AGI yet" proxy, so real GDP. But it's legimate as nominal GDP too, however then Yes is a mix of low probability "very good thing" (global productivity revolution) and low probability "very bad thing" (global hyperinflation)