Will global GDP growth rate (real) exceed 21% by the end of the 21st century?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ1582201
65%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is an exploration of the "growth explosion" hypothesis that would come as a result of AI. Specifically its effect on the labor part of a labor-capital-technology model of an economy.
introduction to the idea:
https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/24108787/ai-economic-growth-explosive-automation
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s?
54% chance
Will the real US GDP grow more than 5% per year in any year before 2030?
65% chance
Will there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 10% as measured from a prior peak?
62% chance
Will the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2027?
1% chance
Will world real GDP jump by 20% in a year over any previous year in before 2030?
12% chance
Will world real GDP jump by 20% in a year over any previous year in before 2040?
40% chance
Will GDP grow at more than 7% on average around 2030?
33% chance
Will real US GDP per capita grow by at least 15% within a single year by the end of 2033?
29% chance
Will any year's US GDP reach 130% of all previous years by 2035?
23% chance
Will the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2040?
38% chance