Will the US, UK or EU write any law aimed at limiting a specific AI capability before 2024?

45

Ṁ870Ṁ3.7k

resolved Jun 1

Resolved

NO

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Restricting training run size, mandating interpretability, barring certain data sources on copyright grounds etc. won’t count unless this is done to target a specific capability of AI models such as “recognizing faces” or “generating credible medical advice”?

Market context

New Year's Resolutions 2024

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Trader	Total profit
1		Ṁ193
2		Ṁ190
3		Ṁ144
4		Ṁ132
5		Ṁ130

People are also trading

[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

Will the US or UK nationalize any frontier AI labs by 2035?

Will a regulatory body modeled on the FDA regulate AI in the US by the end of 2027?

Will the US establish a clear AI developer liability framework for AI harms by 2028?

Will the United States ban AI research by the end of 2037?

Will the US create an antitrust safe harbor for AI safety & security collaboration by 2028?

Significant legal restrictions on AI in the USA by June 2027

Will the US implement software export controls for frontier AI models by 2028?

Will the US require a license to develop frontier AI models by 2028?

Sort by:

afaik, this resolves NO. feel free to correct me with proof and I'll re-resolve

@NathanpmYoung Can this resolve?

can you elaborate on “limiting a specific AI capability”? Restricting training run size, mandating interpretability, barring certain data sources on copyright grounds etc. won’t count unless this is done to target a specific capability of AI models such as “recognizing faces” or “generating credible medical advice”?

@mariopasquato Yeah that seems right

predictedYES

"Before 2024" means before the end of 2024?

@AaronLehmann No

People are also trading

[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

Will the US or UK nationalize any frontier AI labs by 2035?

Will a regulatory body modeled on the FDA regulate AI in the US by the end of 2027?

Will the US establish a clear AI developer liability framework for AI harms by 2028?

Will the United States ban AI research by the end of 2037?

Will the US create an antitrust safe harbor for AI safety & security collaboration by 2028?

Significant legal restrictions on AI in the USA by June 2027

Will the US implement software export controls for frontier AI models by 2028?

Will the US require a license to develop frontier AI models by 2028?

Related questions

[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

Will the US or UK nationalize any frontier AI labs by 2035?

Will a regulatory body modeled on the FDA regulate AI in the US by the end of 2027?

Will the US establish a clear AI developer liability framework for AI harms by 2028?

Will the United States ban AI research by the end of 2037?

Will the US create an antitrust safe harbor for AI safety & security collaboration by 2028?

Significant legal restrictions on AI in the USA by June 2027

Will the US implement software export controls for frontier AI models by 2028?

Will the US require a license to develop frontier AI models by 2028?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy